Elections 2013 in Pakistan and my predictions of seats

pakpolitic

Pakistan is going through an election year and we would be having it on 11th May 2013 just a week later. I am following Pakistani politics for few years now and seat prediction given in this post is based on guess work.

Brief Background

Pakistan is a multi-ethnic and multi-cultural country. There are many factors on which voters decide their choice. These include region/province, language, ethnicity, urban/rural, religious/sectarian affiliation and Income level. There have been two main stream political parties having appeal and representation throughout Pakistan, i-e. Pakistan People’s Party, Pakistan Muslim league Nawaz and recently Pakistan Tehreek e Insaf has emerged due to hard work of cricketer turned politician Imran Khan.
pakistanmap

Election 2008

There are 272 directly contested national assembly seats, while 60 reserved seats for women and 10 for non-Muslims (minorities). PTI, JI and some other regional parties boycotted the 2008 elections (results given below)

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